Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.509836 1.720544 1.949809 2.217772 2.522381 2.857903 3.255574
2025-11-09 1.145370 1.423095 1.751801 2.169488 2.686237 3.304824 4.102105
2025-11-16 0.965131 1.273156 1.659576 2.179851 2.862315 3.727619 4.909397
2025-11-23 0.846986 1.173599 1.603378 2.210169 3.045244 4.155109 5.744581
2025-11-30 0.742929 1.074366 1.528973 2.197854 3.157561 4.486303 6.469298
2025-12-07 0.650788 0.977916 1.443626 2.154684 3.213752 4.734786 7.090163
2025-12-14 0.570353 0.887673 1.355068 2.093285 3.231038 4.920741 7.627175
2025-12-21 0.512495 0.824001 1.297536 2.069292 3.296983 5.177667 8.285651
2025-12-28 0.485042 0.803915 1.303135 2.140934 3.513634 5.678152 9.361032
2026-01-04 0.440085 0.750691 1.250716 2.113464 3.567109 5.922841 10.043189
2026-01-11 0.416469 0.730014 1.248258 2.166214 3.754313 6.395374 11.136872
2026-01-18 0.385591 0.693720 1.216018 2.164660 3.847849 6.717092 11.998271
2026-01-25 0.353933 0.656301 1.184046 2.170892 3.973941 7.136850 13.129271
2026-02-01 0.316601 0.605342 1.124467 2.124263 4.006027 7.404221 14.033681
2026-02-08 0.292078 0.574974 1.098136 2.134387 4.140616 7.864906 15.335568
2026-02-15 0.272876 0.552395 1.083472 2.164075 4.313534 8.410518 16.850749
2026-02-22 0.250765 0.521507 1.049486 2.152016 4.403029 8.804211 18.107035
2026-03-01 0.227780 0.486218 1.003060 2.109743 4.426902 9.070233 19.131536
2026-03-08 0.205522 0.449929 0.950787 2.049619 4.407188 9.245348 19.983789
2026-03-15 0.189146 0.424325 0.917783 2.026124 4.460891 9.573832 21.188891
2026-03-22 0.182652 0.419535 0.928014 2.096278 4.721762 10.358923 23.454901
2026-03-29 0.168528 0.396142 0.895741 2.069379 4.766383 10.684289 24.737274
2026-04-05 0.161804 0.388936 0.898350 2.121033 4.991971 11.425269 27.029520